Tesla publishes FSD data ahead of expected European vote in October

On screen, the figures are scrolling even before the authorities have voted: Tesla Europe has published a dashboard dedicated to its supervised FSD, featuring eight studies and more than three billion kilometers analyzed. The automaker is also making the raw datasets available for download, as the European vote on the system is expected in October.

The dossier details emergency braking, collisions, lane changes, driver fatigue and speeding. In Europe, Tesla’s engineering fleet claims 1.28 million kilometers driven in eight countries without a collision attributed to the system. On fixed routes in six cities, more than 230,000 scenario tests show a success rate above 99%, including 98.9% across nearly 7,000 roundabouts and 99.7% at pedestrian crossings.

Tesla is not just reporting results: the automaker lays out negative binomial regressions, confidence intervals and incidence-rate ratios. Its figures also indicate that, in Europe, emergency-braking rates are 70% to 97% lower than those of manually driven Teslas. Worldwide, Tesla claims 10.5 billion kilometers with FSD activated.

The caveat concerns the comparison. The fleet studies control for neither weather, traffic density, time of day nor the complexity of situations. Tesla acknowledges that it is describing observational associations, not causality. The baseline consists of manually driven Model 3 and Model Y vehicles, while the European FSD data comes from the engineering fleet, compared with more than 14 billion kilometers of manual driving. No independent audit has yet verified these results.

So what does this mean in practice? European authorities now have an accessible dossier and data to examine before deciding on five exemptions related to the technical regulation. For drivers, European recognition of FSD has not yet been settled: the vote is still pending, and Sweden recommends voting against the requests concerning speed and lateral acceleration. The immediate development lies elsewhere: Tesla’s claims can now be debated using public figures, with their limitations visible.